Identifying the effective propelling factors on the future situation of sustainable tourism by the future studies approach Case study: Central villages of Sarein county

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Associate Professor of rural planning, the University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil

2 graduated of MA in rural planning, the University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil

Abstract

The method of gathering is from documents and Qualitative data were collected through open-ended questionnaires and through interview and document analysis and quantitative data were prepared numerically by weighting Delphi questionnaires. In a way that Initially, indices and components were collected in different dimensions. Then they were handed to executive and academic elites who are specialized in tourism and asked them to identify the most influential factors according to their proficiency. After identifying these factors, they were asked to rate from 0 to 3 points within the matrix of cross-effects between the factors, based on their degree of effectiveness and impressibility. Findings based on the scattering plate condition indicated that the system is unstable and most of the factors are scattered around the diameter of the plate. Also among those 50 factors, finally considering the high score of effective factor and the direct impressibility, 23 factors as the output of the MicMac are effective in the future of sustainable rural tourism in the central part of Sarein county. The results indicate that among the 23 Propelling factors, improvement factors of the paths and rural road condition, security, and reconstruction of tourism had the highest effective level and were more essential.

Keywords

References

 
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Journal of Tourism Planning and Development
Volume 9, Issue 33
August 2020
Pages 71-90

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