Futurism of sports tourism destinations based on a scenario approach (Case study: Isfahan province)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Shahroud University of Technology, Faculty of Physical Education,

2 Department of Physical Education. Faculty of Physical Education and Sports Sciences. Shahrood University of Technology. Shahrood. Iran

3 Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Faculty of Humanities, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran

10.22080/jtpd.2023.23905.3718

Abstract

Context and Purpose: Lack of attention to the future in the micro and macro tourism policies of the country and insisting on the model of "planning based on the current situation" has led to the adoption of very fragile policies to manage sports tourism destinations. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the future of sports tourism destinations based on identifying the factors and drivers leading to possible scenarios up to the time horizon of 2031, which has been done through a case study in Isfahan province.
Design/methodology/approach: The research method of this study is survey. Research data were collected using three methods: interview, theoretical literature review and weighted questionnaires. The statistical population of the study included 14 experts in the field of sports tourism who were selected by purposive method. Data analysis was performed using structural analysis and scenario analysis.
Findings: Isfahan sports tourism system is an unstable system that in the future will depend on the immediate changes of variables with high uncertainty. Based on the identification of four critical uncertainties and five predetermined factors, a total of 16 scenarios were created, including two unlikely scenarios, five inconsistent scenarios, three low-probability scenarios, four medium-probability scenarios and two high-probability scenarios.
Conclusion: The lack of a unified and coherent policy with the ability of continuous and dynamic updating at the national level, has led to the vulnerability of sports tourism destinations in Isfahan province. Therefore, the most important strategies and future planning actions should be focused on policy-making at the provincial level.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

Abdinia, Fahimeh (2016), Analysis of the state of sports tourism in the adventure activities of Isfahan province using the SOAR model. Master's thesis on tourism development planning, Sheikh Baha'i University [In Persian]
Adel Khani, Amin (2014), Sport Tourism; Opportunities and challenges, Journal of Expert Reports (Research Center of the Islamic Council), 14588 (1): 24-1 [In Persian]
Adib Roshan, fereshte; Talebpour, Mehdi; peymanizad, hosein (2018), Drawing the scenario of elite sports of Khorasan Razavi province in 1404 horizon, Journal of Sport Management and Development, 6 (3):168-186, [In Persian]
Amer, M. Daim, T. U. Jetter, A (2013), A review of scenario planning, Futures, 46 (1): 23-40
Andersen, Allan Dahl; Andersen, Per Dannemand (2017), Foresighting for inclusive development, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 19 (1): 227-236
Asgharpour, Mohammad Javad (2016), Group decision making and game theory with an operations research perspective, Tehran University Publications [In Persian].
Bazazan, F & Azaddana, F. (2018). Economic Impact of Domestic Tourists Arriving in Qom (Dual Output Data Approach). Tourism Planning and Development, 7 (25), 8-24. [In Persian].
Bell, Simon; Morse, Stephen (2013), Rich pictures: a means to explore the ‘sustainable mind’? Sustainable Development, 21 (1): 30-47
Beyranvandzadeh, Maryam; Darvishi, Hedayatollah; Najafi, Esmaeil (2021), Future study of nature tourism based on nature in Lorestan province, Journal of Geography and Human Relationships, 3 (4): 109-120 [In Persian]
Bratić, Marija; Radivojević, Aleksandar; Stojiljković, Nenad; Simović, Olivera; Emil, Juvan; Lesjak, Miha; Podovšovnik, Eva (2021), Should I Stay or Should I Go? Tourists’ COVID-19 Risk Perception and Vacation Behavior Shift, Sustainability, 13 (6): 1-19
Carneiro, M. J. Breda, Z. Cordeiro, C. (2016), Sports tourism development and destination sustainability: the case of the coastal area of the Aveiro region, Portugal, Journal of Sport & Tourism, 20 (3-4): 305-334
Cavallaro, F. Ciari, F. Nocera, S. Prettenthaler, F. & Scuttari, A. (2017). The impacts of climate change on tourist mobility in mountain areas, Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 25 (8): 1063-1083
Cheng, M. N. Wong, J. W. K. Cheung, C. F. Leung, K. H (2016), A scenario-based roadmapping method for strategic planning and forecasting: A case study in a testing, inspection and certification company, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 111 (2): 44-62
Choa, H. Joob, D. Chic, ch (2019), Examining nostalgia in sport tourism: The case of US college football fans, Tourism Management Perspectives, 29 (1): 97-104
Csobán, Katalin Vargáné; György, Serra (2014), The role of small-scale sports events in developing sustainable sport tourism- a case study of fencing, Applied Studies in Agribusiness and Commerce, 8 (4): 17-22
Daghestani, Saeed (2012), Tourist Attractions, Concepts, Management and Planning, Mahkaame Publications [In Persian]
Deery, M. jago, L (2006), The Management of Sport Tourism, in Heathr Gibson, Sport Tourism: Concepts and Theories, Rutledge Taylor & Francis Group
Djuricic, Ksenija; Bootz, Jean Philippe (2019), Effectuation and foresight- An exploratory study of the implicit links between the two concepts, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 140, (1): 115-128
Dorsser, Cornelis van; Walker, Warren E; Taneja, Poonam; Marchau, Vincent A.W.J (2017), Improving the link between the futures field and policymaking, Futures, 104 (1): 75-84
Dufva, Mikko; Könnölä, Totti; Koivisto, Raija (2015), Multi-layered foresight: Lessons from regional foresight in Chile, Futures, 73 (1): 100-111
Duglio, Stefano; Beltramo, Riccardo (2017), Estimating the Economic Impacts of a Small-Scale Sport Tourism Event: The Case of the Italo-Swiss Mountain Trail CollonTrek, Sustainability, 9 (343): 1-17
GSIR (2017), The Global Sports Impact (GSI) Report 2017, Available at: https://www.sportcal.com/PDF/GSI/Report/GSI_Report_2017_Sample_Pack_v1.pdf
Hajibiklo, Masood; morsal, Bagher (2021), Investigating the effects of sports tourism on sustainable urban development Using Geographic Information System (GIS), Journal of GIS & RS Application in Planning, 12 (1): 89-107 [In Persian]
Hemmati Afif, Ali; Mahmoudi, Ahmad; Ghorbani, Mohammad Hossein; Keshavarz Tork, Einollah (2020), Formulating the model of the effects of organizational foresight on policy making in Iran's sports industry, Journal of Cultural-Social Studies of Olympic, 1 (4): 49-75 [In Persian]
Hinch, Tom; Ito, Eiji (2018), Sustainable Sport Tourism in Japan, Tourism Planning & Development, 15 (1): 96-101
Hosseini, Seyedeh Marjan; Esfahani, Nooshin (2015), Market Segmentation of Sport Tourism in Cologne City of Germany for Foreign Tourists According to Nationality and Natural-Sport Attractions, Journal of Sport Physiology and management Investigation, 7 (2): 33-45 [In Persian]
Hritz, N. Ross, C. (2010), The perceived impacts of sport tourism: an urban host community perspective. Journal of Sport Management, 24 (2): 119-138
Hua, K. P. Chiu, L. K. (2013), Multiculturism: Issues of Malaysian female sport tourists in event-based sport tourism. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 91, 270-287
Huili, H. Carol, K. Patrick, L. Gary, R. (2018), Property Owners' Attitudes toward Sustainable Tourism: Comparing Coastal and Mountain Counties. Tourism and Hospitality Research, 88 (4): 424-448
Iqbal, B. A. Sami, S. (2016), Global and India’s Tourism Scenario, Journal of Tourism & Hospitality, (5) 1
Ito, Eiji (2019), Tourism and sports, Empirical research on sport tourism behaviour and experience, Impact, 1 (1): 72-74
Khajehpour, Akram; Doosti, Morteza (2017), Survey Methods Sports Tourism Development with using of Lindgreen Model (Case Study Green Roof Ramsar), Journal of Tourism Planning and Development, 6 (20): 115-130 [In Persian]
Khosravi, Ehsan; Naderi, Nader; Rezaei, Bijan; Azadi, Hossein (2021), Presenting a safe tourism model for the continuation of tourism businesses in the Covid-19 crisis, Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, 10 (2): 147-165 [In Persian]
Kock, Florian; Nørfelt, Astrid; Josiassen, Alexander; Assaf, A George; Tsionas, Mike G (2020), Understanding the COVID-19 tourist psyche: The evolutionary tourism paradigm, Annals of tourism research, 85 (1): 1-13
Kumar, D. (2018), Sport Tourism: A New Educational Concept for Sustainable Development. Multidisciplinary Higher Education, Research, Dynamics & Concepts: Opportunities & Challenges for Sustainable Development, 1 (1): 69-75
Lanquar, R (2013), Tourism in the Mediterranean: Scenarios up to 2030, European Commission: EuropeanResearch Area & Seventh Framework Program, MEDPRO Report No. 1
Lempert, R (2013), Scenarios that illuminate vulnerabilities and robust responses, Climatic Change, 117: 627-647
Lub, X. D. Rijnders, R. Caceres, L. N; Bosman, J (2016), The future of hotels: The Lifestyle Hub. A design-thinking approach for developing future hospitality concepts, Journal of Vacation Marketing, 22 (3): 1-16
Maleki, Mohammad hasan; Khasehi Varnamkhasti, Vahid; Fathi, Mohammad Reza; Saffarinia, Mehdi (2019), Future Studies of Religious Tourism of Qom Province based on Scenario Planning Approach, Journal of Tourism and Development, 8 (3): 184-205 [In Persian]
Milojević, panelIvana; Inayatullah, Sohail (2015), Narrative foresight, Futures, 73 (1): 151-162
Mirtaghian Rudsari, Seyyed Mohammad; Farokhian, Firoozeh; Naghavi, Maryam (2020), Investigation of Residents' Behavior towards Tourists during COVID-19 Outbreak, Journal of Tourism Management Studies, 15, Qovid-19 Special issue: 115-143 [In Persian]
Mirzazadeh, Zahrasadat; Abdolmaleki, Hossein (2016), Designing a Model of the Barriers to the Development of Sport Tourism in Mashhad, Journal of Tourism Management Studies, 11 (34): 25-39 [In Persian]
Mohseni, Reza Ali (2009), Sustainable tourism in Iran; Functions, challenges and solutions, Journal of Geographical Space, 28 (1): 149-172 [In Persian]
Mokras-Grabowska, J (2016), Sports Tourism: Terminological Discussion. Turyzm, 26 (1), 13-18
Mousavi, Reza; Omidi Najaf Abadi, Maryam; Mirdamadi, Mehdi; Farajollah Hosseini, Seyed Jamal (2021), A Model of Sustainable Sport Tourism Development with Rural Sports and Local-Native Games Approach, Journal of Tourism Management Studies, 16 (55): 291-257 [In Persian]
Musaei, Meisam; Hashemi, Soamyeh; Ebrahimi, Mitra (2011), Sociological study of sustainable development of tourism in Iran; Obstacles, challenges, solutions, Journal of Social Sciences (Shoshtar Azad University), 16 (1): 50-20 [In Persian]
Nasr, Tahereh (2019), Identification of Key Factors Affecting on the Shiraz City Tourism with a Future Studies Approach, Journal of Urban Planning and Research, 10 (37): 55-66 [In Persian]
Nazari, somaye; Razavi, Mohammad Hossein; Amirnejad, Saeed; Rezayan Ghayeh Bshi, Ahad (2021), Iranian Public Sports Scenarios on the Horizon 2032, Journal of Iran Futures Studies, 5 (2): 309-333 [In Persian]
Rafika, K. Rym, K. Souad, S. B. Youcef, L (2016), A public actor awareness for sustainable development, Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 216 (1): 151-162
Rahimi, Mohammad; Jalali Farahani, Majid; Ali Dost Qahfarrokhi, Ibrahim; Jafari Hajin, Afsar (2016), A Model of Sport Tourism Development in Iran International Sport Events in Volleyball, Journal of New Trends in sports management, 4 (13): 35-47 [In Persian]
Rahmati, Mansour; Pashazadeh, Asghar; Afrousheh, Reza (2021), Identify and Categorize the Challenges of Tourism Development in Germi City, Journal of Tourism and Development, 10 (3): 81-95 [In Persian]
Sadeghi, Saeed (2017), Tourism industry in the period of sanctions: challenges and opportunities. Journal of National Security scout, 78 (1): 55-62 [In Persian]
Sobhani, Abbas; Andam, Reza; Bahrololoum, Hassan; Faraji, Rasoul (2021), Compilation a Pattern of Iran Sport Tourism Security Management with Grounded Theory approach, Journal of Sport Management and Development, 10 (1): 2-13 [In Persian].
Taghvaei,M.,Hosseinekhah,H.(2018).Tourism Development Planning Based on Futures Studies and Scenario Case Study: Yasouj. Journal of Tourism Planning and Development, 6(23), 8-30. [In Persian].
Tiago, F. Gil, A. Stemberger, S. Borges-Tiago, T (2021), Digital sustainability communication in tourism, Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 6 (1): 27-34
Trendafiova, S. Ziakas, V; Sparvero, E. (2019), Linking corporate social responsibility in sport with community development: an added source of community value, Sport in Society Cultures, Commerce, Media, Politics, 20 (7): 938-956
Uglis, Jarosław; Jęczmyk, Anna; Zawadka, Jan; Wojcieszak-Zbierska, Monika Małgorzata; Pszczoła, Marcin (2022), Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tourist plans: a case study from Poland, Current Issues in Tourism, 25 (3): 405-420
Vaezi, Reza; Chekin, maysam; Aslipour, Hosein (2018), Policy-Making Challenges in the Field of Health Tourism in Iran, Journal of Tourism Management Studies, 13 (41): 1-40 [In Persian]
Weed, Mike (2020), The role of the interface of sport and tourism in the response to the COVID-19 pandemic, Journal of Sport & Tourism, 24 (2): 79-92
Yan, Yong; Ibrahim Shah, Muhammad; Sharma, Gagan Deep; Chopra, Ritika; Fareed, Zeeshan; Shahzad, Umer (2022), Can tourism sustain itself through the pandemic: nexus between tourism, COVID-19 cases and air quality spread in the ‘Pineapple State’ Hawaii, Current Issues in Tourism, 25 (3): COVID-19 and Tourism: 421-440
Yu, Meng; Li, Zhiyong; Yu, Zhicheng; He Jiaxin; Zhou, Jingyan (2021), Communication related health crisis on social media: a case of COVID-19 outbreaks, Current Issues in Tourism, 24 (19): 2699-2705
Zali, Nader; Atrian, Frough (2016), Presentation of Tourism Regional Development Scenarios Based on the Principles of Futures Studies (Case: Hamadan Province), Journal of Town and Country Planning, 8 (1): 107-131 [In Persian]
Zhang, Ke; Hou, Yuansi; Li, Gang (2020), Threat of infectious disease during an outbreak: Influence on tourists' emotional responses to disadvantaged price inequality, Annals of Tourism Research, 84: 1-11
Journal of Tourism Planning and Development
Volume 11, Issue 42
November 2022
Pages 185-210

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics