بررسی رابطه ورود گردشگران خارجی و میزان وقوع جرم در ایران

نوع مقاله: علمی-پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانش آموخته MBA، دانشگاه علوم و فنون مازندران

2 دانشجوی دکترای روانشناسی، دانشگاه الزهرا

چکیده

هدف از مقاله پیش رو بررسی رابطه بین ورود گردشگر خارجی و میزان وقوع جرایم مرتبط با گردشگری در ایران با استفاده از داده­ های سالیانه در فاصله سال های 1370 تا 1391 می­ باشد. برای رسیدن به اهداف پژوهش، تعداد ورود گردشگران خارجی در هر کیلومتر مربع برای نمایش توان جذب گردشگر و نیز تعداد کل پرونده‌های جرایم سالیانه در حوزه­ های جرایم رانندگی، سرقت و تجاوز به عنف در کشور به ازای هر 100 هزار نفر جمعیت جهت اندازه­ گیری نرخ جرایم مرتبط با گردشگری به­ کار گرفته شد و نتایج برآورد مدل پیشنهادی با استفاده از الگوی تصحیح خطای برداری نشان داد که طی دوره مشاهده، جذب گردشگران خارجی اثر مثبت و معناداری بر میزان وقوع جرایم مرتبط با گردشگری در ایران داشته است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


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